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MANIFOLD
What AI model is best?
10
Ṁ150Ṁ201
Jun 29
77%
Claude
56%
ChatGPT
55%
Gemini
34%
DeepSeek
30%
Grok
28%
Perplexity

I will resolve to my own subjective opinion as well as a poll. I intend to use the free tier. I will probably resolve to percentages.

Feel free to try to convince me, I created this market with that purpose in mind.

Right now, I kinda toggle between multiple at random, Gemini, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and ChatGPT.

I will not bet and try to avoid being excessively subjective. Last human trader to bet gets 25 mana.

  • Update 2026-03-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Free tier means standard consumer-facing interfaces requiring only an account signup; no free trials or credit card benefits count

    • Options will resolve to individual percentages that do not need to sum to 100%

    • Creator will announce intended percentages before resolving and may open a poll if there is enough demand

Market context
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Technology
ChatGPT
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I use Gemini a lot but miss the ephemeral chat option. I haven't been able to use Claude as much because of usage limits. Should I try ChatGPT?

If you have questions, I'd be happy to answer.

bought Ṁ10 YES

I think Claude is the best with current AI use cases, e.g. coding. Therefore it is the best model. It has way more enterprise and developer usage than the others. While you may think that the others have more potential I don't think that affects the current poll.

@Tectal333 I do like it, it can be slower than the others though.

bought Ṁ10 NO

Definitely not DeepSeek. After the initial hype it has heavily fallen off.

@Tectal333 I agree, but haven't used it in a while so I can't be certain.

@Velaris What limit does "Free Tier" include? For example, would free use of Google's AI Studio count as "Free Tier," or is it exclusively the gemini.google frontend free tier? Also, is the market just resolving one answer to 100%, as currently, it's not sum-to-one.

@Dssc I'm focusing on the standard consumer-facing interfaces, with no further setup than making an account. I won't be considering free trials or benefits you get for adding a credit card or something similar.

I intend to resolve each option to a percentage, they do not need to add up to 100 percent. I also intend to announce what percentages I want to resolve to and will open a poll if there's enough demand.

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