Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory
8
Ṁ225Ṁ1.4k2027
46%
Neal, 27+ pts
45%
Neal, 30+ pts
53%
Neal, 24+ pts
26%
Neal, 33+ pts
71%
Neal, 21+ pts
19%
Neal, 36+ pts
83%
Neal, 18+ pts
89%
Neal, 15+ pts
92%
Neal, 12+ pts
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/midterm-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ma01d
Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 1st District by 27 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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