If OpenAI goes public before 2028, will I consider their claimed ARR revenue figures to be misleading?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ12027
50%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves if OpenAI goes public and releases their first financial statements. If after reading their financials I believe any ARR numbers they claimed seem suspicions or misleading. An example of a clear case that could show this would be if they claimed $20b ARR at the start of 2026 but their 2026 financials show only $15B of revenue.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
OpenAI IPO before 2028?
83% chance
Will OpenAI go public in 2026?
22% chance
OpenAI IPO before 2029?
90% chance
Will OpenAI have significant financial troubles in 2026?
26% chance
Will OpenAI IPO and be a publicly traded company in the United States by the end of April Fools 2027?
75% chance
If OpenAI goes public and releases their first financials before 2028, what will their net income margin be?
Will OpenAI make a profit in 2025?
3% chance
OpenAI annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026?
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2030?
99% chance
How much revenue will OpenAI earn in 2026?