Will my net worth be above Ṁ30,000 in a week?
Will my net worth be above Ṁ30,000 in a week?
9
101Ṁ291resolved Apr 13
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if my net worth is greater than Ṁ30,000 at 18:00 PDT on April 12th.
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bought Ṁ25 NO2mo
out of curiosity, what happens if we all bet no, and you bet yes and resolve YES and your net worth goes above 30000 because of this question
@Qoiuoiuoiu It resolves based on my net worth, even if shenanigans influence the outcome. However, I promise not to bet in this market!
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.