Which countries will the U.S. agree to tariff agreements with before August? [Polymarket]
22
325Ṁ3650
resolved Aug 5
Resolved
YES
European Union
Resolved
YES
Japan
Resolved
YES
Mexico
Resolved
YES
South Korea
Resolved
NO
China
Resolved
NO
India
Resolved
NO
Canada
Resolved
NO
Australia
Resolved
NO
Germany
Resolved
NO
France
Resolved
NO
Brazil
Resolved
NO
Argentina
Resolved
NO
Israel

Resolves the same as the Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-the-us-agree-to-tariff-agreements-with-before-august

Each option will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between July 1, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the option will resolve to “No”.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, the option will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Country-specific tariff reductions and tariff exemption extensions which are officially announced by the Trump administration will qualify if they reflect a bilateral agreement. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/).

Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.

Trade agreements on minerals, critical supply chains, or other trade cooperation areas, will not alone qualify.

Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.

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bought Ṁ1 NO

@evan all of these can resolve except for the Mexico one per polymarket

bought Ṁ178 YES

@evan resolves yes

bought Ṁ80 YES

@evan Japan resolves YES

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