Will Jet Lag: The Game surpass Wendover Productions in subscriber count by the end of 2023?
19
390Ṁ4338
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO

Resolves yes if the number of subscribers on Jet Lag: The Game is greater than that of Wendover Productions at market close. Resolves no otherwise.

As of 3/20:

Jet lag: 428k

Wendover: 4M

Jet lag is really good, uploads regularly, and has staff working full time on it.

Mar 20, 8:38am: Will Jet Lag: Tthe Game surpass Wendoger Productions in subscriber count by the end of 2023? → Will Jet Lag: the Game surpass Wendoger Productions in subscriber count by the end of 2023?

Mar 20, 8:39am: Will Jet Lag: the Game surpass Wendoger Productions in subscriber count by the end of 2023? → Will Jet Lag: The Game surpass Wendoger Productions in subscriber count by the end of 2023?

Mar 20, 8:39am: Will Jet Lag: The Game surpass Wendoger Productions in subscriber count by the end of 2023? → Will Jet Lag: The Game surpass Wendover Productions in subscriber count by the end of 2023?

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predictedNO

Do you mind keeping it at 7%? I still think the chance is below 5% but you can easily bet it up and I don't want to be screwed in leagues.

predictedNO

new jet lag japan series dropped last wednesday btw, HYPE

They would need to gain ~3.6M subs in 7 months, they are currently averaging 15K a month... not even close. This is severely overestimated. I give this <1%.

predictedNO

@ShadowyZephyr That’s a bit aggressive - definitely >1% that one of their seasons goes megaviral and their growth rate accelerates

@Conflux at least, that’s my intuition

predictedNO

@Conflux Jet Lag gets a lot of its audience from Wendover, and even the subscribers who come in from other sources find Wendover and probably subscribe to Wendover, because Jet Lag's description says "A Wendover Productions channel." The fact that they share so much of the same audience means that their growth will be tied together, except that Wendover has way more subs and views.

@ShadowyZephyr That’s all true now, but I just am skeptical it must always be true. Especially getting into the single digit percents

predictedNO

@Conflux Maybe not 1% but at least 5% surely. Btw the gap between them has widened since the sub count was written here. Now it's jet lag - 480k vs Wendover - 4.17M

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