Stuff like beta access, alpha access, early access, etc. counts.
Screenshots/announcements/demos without anyone outside OpenAI able to access them will not count.
Any release before the end of March 31th (PST) counts (API, Playground only, etc.).
Release must be publicly announced, rumors or anecdotes don't count.
Resolution based on my best judgment.
Dec 14, 5:46pm: Will GPT4 be released before March 31th, 2023? → Will GPT-4 be released before March 31th, 2023?
Can’t be released before March “31th” unless we have dramatic changes to English soon 😉
Confused because I already have a friend who does not work for OpenAI who has access to GPT4. So does that count as 'early access'?
@CollinFerry Is your friend in some official alpha, or does he have access because he knows someone-who-knows-someone? Regardless, for this market to resolve Yes there's need to be some kind of actual evidence.
@jonsimon I think it's closer to the "know-someone" side of the spectrum, but my point is the market description should (I think) clarify what is meant by 'early access' because it's currently ambiguous (to me anyway)
@ZiquaftyNny ah exactly what i did. I call it "an arbitrage opportunity for excitement and happiness".
@firstuserhere Side benefit is that markets like this trend to zero until the market closes or some news about release.
