Can't seem to find a precise definition of "landslide" so I'm currently going with:
Mentioned as such by multiple neutral & fact-based news media publications
I'm open to alternative measures of "landslide" if they can be justified as more accurate
Related questions
Would you say Obama '12 was a landslide (332-206)?, Tipping Point Margin: CO - 5.4%, Popular: +3.9%
Obama '08 was definitely a landslide (365-173), Tipping Point Margin: CO - 9.0%, Popular: +7.3%
imo last 4 elections by closeness
'08 Obama - clearly
'12 Obama - by EVs and Tipping Point
'20 Biden - 2nd by popular vote, 4th by tipping pt
'16 Trump - lost popular vote, bigger tipping pt than Biden '20
I think Obama '12 just misses the cut for landslide since the EVs weren't high enough (is 339-199, 344-194, or 350-188 high enough?) and 3.9% popular vote wasn't high enough.
I think I'll bet no since Biden probably won't outperform 2020 and Trump has no shot of a landslide (popular vote won't be Trump +5, doubt he gets more than 340 EVs, and tipping points should be within 5)
The definition on 538 is that the winning candidate receives at least 350 electoral votes: Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? | FiveThirtyEight.
I've created a market based on that definition here: Will the 2024 US presidential election be a landslide in the Electoral College? | Manifold.
@Quroe
Yep, that was my concern as well, which is why I mention:
Mentioned as such by multiple neutral & fact-based news media publications
I'm no expert, but from my understanding 'landslide' can have a number of dimensions (Electoral College, Popular Vote % etc.) so I figured it would be better to outsource the definition to a number of neutral sources as it seems like one of those "we know it when we see it" sort of things.