Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)

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2065

45%

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"Solved" as defined by developed countries with below-replacement fertility (e.g. China, U.S. , Japan etc. ) returning to replacement levels of fertility (or exceeding) due to uses of the aforementioned fertility-enhancing technologies

Examples of such technologies include:

Synthetic Gametogenesis

Artificial Wombs

Embryo Selection

Robot Nannies
Fertility Enhancing Drugs
Cloning
IVF , Freezing of Sperm & Eggs

Update 2025-05-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will rely on survey data or research attempting to understand the most significant contributing factors to fertility rate changes in relevant developed countries.

A "Yes" resolution is indicated if the sum of fertility technology factors listed in the description is determined to contribute to approximately 40% or more of the return to replacement-level fertility.

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How do you determine if it's "due to" something? Say the US TFR returns to 2, with 20% of births through IVG. Does it resolve yes? What if it's only 5%?

@nathanwei Good question. I suppose in such a situation there would be survey data / research that would attempt to understand which factors were most significant contributors.

If the sum of fertility technology factors (not just IVG) contributed to ~40% or more that would be grounds for a “Yes” resolution imo.

im open to other ideas people have as long as they’re in the spirit of the market.

It's very questionable if there is such a crisis in the first place.

@ProjectVictory Do you mean that lower birthrates are not a bad thing or do you disagree that birth rates have dropped at all?

@elf

1. I'm not entirely convinced that birth rates dropped due to biological, not social reasons.

Currently, underpopulation is not a problem worldwide.

I don't think that the term "fertility crisis" implies a lack of biological fertility, but rather just the general potential crisis brought about by low fertility rates