Will a VR/AR headset sell more units than the highest-selling game console (~155m units) before 2030? ๐ฎ๐น๏ธ ๐พ๐ฅ๏ธ
Plus
13
แน7122030
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is effectively a bet on whether AR/ VR / XR / Spatial Computing will become mainstream in the 2020s
Resolution Criteria
"VR / AR" meaning either a VR or AR headset or a hybrid XR / Mixed Reality / Spatial Computing device
The device will need to sell more than 155 Million Units before 2030
(Nintendo DS & PS2 are currently both at ~155 Million Units)
Additional Info
The current highest-selling VR headset is Meta's Quest 2 which is selling equivalent units to the Xbox Series S (~20 to 25 million units)
Sony's Playstation 2 and Nintendo DS are both ~155 Million Units sold (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_game_consoles)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will any company sell over 30 million VR/AR headsets in a year by 2030?
62% chance
Will Valve announce a standalone XR headset before 2025?
57% chance
Will global AR/VR headset sales exceed 75 million a year by 2030?
41% chance
Will 30% of video game players be using a VR headset of some sort to play video games by 2030?
19% chance
Will AR/VR headset use be ubiquitous on commercial airlines by 2030?
61% chance
Will I own a VR/AR headset by 2028?
55% chance
Which game engine will dominate the VR/AR space
Will virtual and augmented reality be as popular in 2060 as smartphones were in 2021?
66% chance
Will a genre-defining virtual reality (VR) game launch before the end of 2025 to match the success of Beat Saber?
19% chance
Which company will make the most popular AR/VR/MR product of 2026?