Will the groundhog's prediction be right for winter 2023?
Basic
7
Ṁ2910resolved Mar 13
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Punxsutawney Phil saw its shadow on Groundhog Day predicting 6 more weeks of winter.
Resolves YES if any day for the week of March 13 to March 19 has a low temperature of 32 or below for Punxsutawney, PA according to: https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/usa/punxsutawney/historic
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ143 | |
2 | Ṁ17 | |
3 | Ṁ15 |
Sort by:
Turns out its accuracy is not good at all (36%, even lower for when it sees its shadow): https://www.livescience.com/32974-punxsutawney-phil-weather-prediction-accuracy.html