Will the groundhog see its shadow on Groundhog's Day 2025?
6
117
130
2025
81%
chance

Groundhog Day "is a popular North American tradition observed in the United States and Canada on February 2. It derives from the Pennsylvania Dutch superstition that if a groundhog emerges from its burrow on this day and sees its shadow due to clear weather, it will retreat to its den, and winter will go on for six more weeks; if it does not see its shadow because of cloudiness, spring will arrive early." (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Groundhog_Day)

Resolves YES if the official groundhog from Punxsutawney, PA (Punxsutawney Phil) sees its shadow on February 2, 2025: https://www.visitpa.com/live-stream-phils-prediction

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bought Ṁ350 of NO

Nice scam, you got me.

predicts YES

@Herc oh you thought that it was for this year? sorry! I just closed a market for this year and thought about making one for next year before I forget

predicts NO

@egroj I don't believe you

predicts NO

@egroj Apologies for the accusation I was misunderstanding something. I thought for sure you were trying to trap someone, upon reflection I realize it's more likely not the case. Sorry again.

predicts YES

@Herc no worries!, sorry again that you bid by mistake. Cheers!