When will influenza activity peak during the 2022-23 influenza season in the US?
Science
4
10
resolved Jun 29
0.1%
October 2022
0.1%
November 2022
99.1%
December 2022
0.1%
January 2023
0.2%
February 2023
0.1%
March 2023
0.1%
April 2023
0.1%
May 2023
0.1%
June, July, August, or September 2023

Most influenza seasons peak in February, but there is significant variability (https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/season/flu-season.htm).

I will resolve this market with the month that has the MMWR week ending when there is a peak overall weekly influenza hospitalizations rate according to https://gis.cdc.gov/GRASP/Fluview/FluHospRates.html

If the influenza season seems to be over before the end of the summer of 2023, I will resolve this market before closing time.

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https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm

If there are multiple peaks this season you’ll pick the highest one?

@NicoDelon correct

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