What countries will make it to the 2022 FIFA World Cup Quarter-finals?
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8.3kṀ48k
resolved Dec 6
13%10%
Brazil
13%9%
France
13%9%
Argentina
13%8%
Portugal
13%8%
England
13%7%
Netherlands
13%6%
Croatia
13%3%
Morocco
0.2%Other
1.5%
Germany
8%
Spain
0.4%
Mexico
1.2%
Belgium
0.9%
Uruguay
4%
United States
6%
Japan
0.2%
Cameroon
2.0%
South Korea
4%
Switzerland
2%
Australia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_FIFA_World_Cup_knockout_stage

I will resolve as answers the eight countries that make it to the Quarter-finals.

Betting closes before the start of the Round of 16.

Notice that I will be selecting 8 teams as answers assigning 12.5% probability to each team. So you have to multiply probabilities here by 8 (12.5% means 100%) and divide possible profits by 8.

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