Which country will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup?
317
317
resolved Dec 18
1.7%
France
0.0%
Spain
0.0%
Germany
0.0%
Brazil
0.0%
Belgium
0.0%
England
0.0%
Portugal
98.2%
Argentina
0.0%
United States
0.0%
Mexico
0.0%
Poland
0.0%
Japan
0.0%
Uruguay
0.0%
Australia
0.0%
Costa Rica
0.0%
Canada
0.0%
Senegal
0.0%
Denmark
0.0%
Serbia
0.0%
Serbia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_FIFA_World_Cup 2022 FIFA World Cup in QATAR / 21 November to 18 December 2022 Which team/country will be the winner of the final? Winning answer will be country name only (no other bs answers).

Close date updated to 2022-12-18 11:59 pm

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bought Ṁ100 of Argentina

haha people totally overcommitted to Argentina winning

sold Ṁ65 of France

@Jelle I would not call it an overcommitment! unlikely things happen but that does not make them likely.

@Adam Nope that's not why I meant. This market stayed in favor of Argentina for a long time, probably because people invested in Argentina and weren't able to sell, not having enough liquidity to shift the distribution.

bought Ṁ10 of France

@Jelle oh, you mean the way it took a while for the odds to shift after the goals? yeah, I unwound a 5k position on argentina and got most of it back in on France at great odds, myself

@Adam (this was across 3 markets)

@Adam Nvm, I see people have been selling by voting opposite on this market too. Not sure why there isn't a sell button for these kinds of markets?

bought Ṁ4 of Portugal

Another arbitrage market:

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