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MANIFOLD
Next General Nintendo Direct Prop Market (Add answers)
2
Ṁ300Ṁ71
Aug 12
50%
Animal Crossing mainline sequel reveal
50%
Pikmin 5 reveal
50%
Fire Emblem remakes of Genealogy of the Holy War announcement
50%
Luigi's Mansion 4 reveal
50%
Happens in September
41%
Something I subjectively would describe as "Super Cool"
34%
New 3D Mario game reveal
34%
Kid Icarus port or sequel announcement
34%
Star Fox new game announcement
34%
F-Zero new game announcement
34%
New hardware accessory (e.g., Switch 2 dock/controller) reveal
34%
New IP developed by Nintendo revealed

Resolution criteria

This is an independent multiple-choice prop market that resolves based on the events of the next official General Nintendo Direct broadcast following the June 9, 2026 presentation.

Each added option will resolve to YES or NO based on the following criteria:

  • Qualifying Presentation: The presentation must be officially titled simply as a "Nintendo Direct" (e.g., "Nintendo Direct - September 2026"). Presentations explicitly excluded from resolving this market include "Partner Showcase", "Indie World", "Super Nintendo World" or "Museum" tours, and game-specific showcases (such as "Pokémon Presents" or dedicated single-game Directs).

  • Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined using the official stream and video archive published on the official Nintendo YouTube Channel.

  • Scope of Broadcast: To resolve to YES, an option's event must be explicitly mentioned, shown, or announced during the main runtime of the Direct broadcast (including "one more thing" teasers or sizzle reels). Post-show segments, such as Nintendo Treehouse: Live, do not count toward resolution unless an option explicitly specifies otherwise.

  • Unambiguous Announcement: For game announcements, titles, or release dates, there must be clear official confirmation (such as a trailer, title logo, or explicit verbal/text statement from a presenter) during the broadcast. Speculation or vague teases that do not name the game or franchise will resolve to NO unless the connection is officially confirmed by Nintendo during or immediately following the Direct.

  • Adding Answers: Because anyone can add answers to this market, traders are encouraged to write highly specific options. Ambiguous or duplicate options may be resolved as N/A at the creator's discretion.

Background

Nintendo's most recent major showcase occurred on June 9, 2026. It featured significant reveals and updates for both the original Nintendo Switch and the Nintendo Switch 2, including The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time Remake, Xenoblade Genesis, Fire Emblem: Fortune's Weave, Nintendo Switch Sports Resort, and ports like Kingdom Hearts IV.

Historically, Nintendo adheres to a general schedule of broadcasting major Directs in February, June, and September. This market allows traders to bet on what first-party franchises, new hardware updates, release dates, or unexpected third-party partnerships will be featured in the next installment of Nintendo's flagship broadcast.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

Market context
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