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MANIFOLD
Next General Nintendo Direct Prop Market (Add answers)
22
Ṁ625Ṁ5.8k
in a day
26%
Something I subjectively would describe as "Super Cool"
25%
Microsoft game (developed by, published by, or IP) announced to come to a Nintendo platform
15%
Anyone (US English version) verbally says "cool"
Resolved
YES
Happens in September
Resolved
YES
Donkey Kong is shown with none of his limbs touching the ground
Resolved
YES
New 2D Metroid announced
Resolved
YES
Ubisoft game (developed by, published by, or IP) announced to come to a Nintendo platform

Resolution criteria

This is an independent multiple-choice prop market that resolves based on the events of the next official General Nintendo Direct broadcast following the June 9, 2026 presentation.

Each added option will resolve to YES or NO based on the following criteria:

  • Qualifying Presentation: The presentation must be officially titled simply as a "Nintendo Direct" (e.g., "Nintendo Direct - September 2026"). Presentations explicitly excluded from resolving this market include "Partner Showcase", "Indie World", "Super Nintendo World" or "Museum" tours, and game-specific showcases (such as "Pokémon Presents" or dedicated single-game Directs).

  • Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined using the official stream and video archive published on the official Nintendo YouTube Channel.

  • Scope of Broadcast: To resolve to YES, an option's event must be explicitly mentioned, shown, or announced during the main runtime of the Direct broadcast (including "one more thing" teasers or sizzle reels). Post-show segments, such as Nintendo Treehouse: Live, do not count toward resolution unless an option explicitly specifies otherwise.

  • Unambiguous Announcement: For game announcements, titles, or release dates, there must be clear official confirmation (such as a trailer, title logo, or explicit verbal/text statement from a presenter) during the broadcast. Speculation or vague teases that do not name the game or franchise will resolve to NO unless the connection is officially confirmed by Nintendo during or immediately following the Direct.

  • Adding Answers: Because anyone can add answers to this market, traders are encouraged to write highly specific options. Ambiguous or duplicate options may be resolved as N/A at the creator's discretion.

Background

Nintendo's most recent major showcase occurred on June 9, 2026. It featured significant reveals and updates for both the original Nintendo Switch and the Nintendo Switch 2, including The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time Remake, Xenoblade Genesis, Fire Emblem: Fortune's Weave, Nintendo Switch Sports Resort, and ports like Kingdom Hearts IV.

Historically, Nintendo adheres to a general schedule of broadcasting major Directs in February, June, and September. This market allows traders to bet on what first-party franchises, new hardware updates, release dates, or unexpected third-party partnerships will be featured in the next installment of Nintendo's flagship broadcast.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

  • Update 2026-09-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Regional Broadcasts: Any regional version of the qualifying Nintendo Direct presentation counts toward resolution. Content shown in regional streams (such as the Japanese broadcast) but not in English broadcasts will qualify for a YES resolution.

Market context
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bought Ṁ240 YES

@Kraalnaxx @egga22 Seems unambiguous to me. I was thinking more like swinging from a vine but whatever lol.

@egga22 How would you describe Metroid Ravenous?

Just to confirm, unless otherwise specified, any regional version of the same iteration of Nintendo Direct counts?

EDIT: this is due to the fact that last Direct, some content were shown on the JP broadcast but not on the English broadcasts

@2qb yes,that's correct

Does the Super Metroid remake count as a "New 2D Metroid"

Since we're getting a dedicated Zelda ND, prop bets for it: /MichaelBlume/zelda-nintendo-direct-prop-bets

@MichaelBlume If a release date is announced in the Direct on the 8th and not mentioned in the Direct on the 9th, I'm guessing this resolves no? What if a release date is announced on the 8th and then mentioned again on the 9th?

@MichaelBlume Correct. If it was restated on the 9th, I guess it would resolve yes.

sold Ṁ25 YES

Looks like there's a Zelda specific direct on the 8th followed by a general direct on the 9th. I'm guessing this market will resolve based on the content of the one on the 9th, since the one on the 8th is game specific

@MichaelBlume Correct, this market will resolve based on the general direct on the 9th.