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MANIFOLD
Will Sierra Leone reelect Julius Maada Bio in the June 24, 2023 presidential election?
6
Ṁ130Ṁ139
resolved Jun 27
Resolved
YES

On June 24, 2023, Sierra Leone's voters head to the polls for a general election on two separate things: the next president and the next parliament. This market is about the next president only. Julius Maada Bio is the incumbent (of the "Sierra Leone People's Party", which is social democratic), hence why he appears in the title. The main challenger is Samura Kamara (of the "All People's Congress"), although there are actually 13 candidates in total per Reuters. The presidential election runs on a two round system: a candidate is elected if they receive at least 55% of the vote; otherwise, a second round must be held.

I will use the mainstream media to resolve this market. If the election is postponed or runs to a second round or the results are delayed, then I'll update this market's description and close date accordingly. If no such election occurs before 2023 is over, then the market resolves N/A.

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Results aren't out yet but are expected in the next few days per the BBC, so I'm pushing the close date semi-arbitrarily by exactly three.

Per Reuters it's out in the "next 48 hours" (story came out two hours ago), and Bio's in the lead.