MANIFOLD
Will GPT-5.4 be released by March 5, 2026?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ82
Mar 6
55%
chance

Resolves YES if a large language model whose name includes the substring "5.4" is released by OpenAI by March 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC and NO otherwise.


Inspired by this tweet. See this for a similar version of the market that closes on March 8.

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