On May 2, 2023, American screenwriters (unionized as WGA) began a strike which continues to this day. Their demands included issues such as better pay, better job security, and protection from AI. This strike has already led to a substantial amount of filmmaking being shut down. Now, it's being reported that actors and actresses (unionized as SAG-AFTRA) are also planning to hold a strike if they can't negotiate a new contract by the time their old one expires on June 30 (thus scheduling the strike to begin on July 1). Like the writers, actors are also seeking better pay and protection from AI. However, these kinds of strikes are rare - the last writers' strike was from November 2007 to February 2008, whereas the last actors' strike was from May to September 2000.

This market resolves YES if a substantial amount of actors and/or actresses go on strike on or by July 1, 2023, and NO otherwise. I will use the mainstream media to resolve the market.