On May 12, 2026, Google announced that it was creating a new kind of computer product called a "Googlebook", which would use Gemini. It would be produced by Acer, ASUS, Dell, HP and/or Lenovo and be available to the public by the fall of 2026.
Resolves as follows:
If a Googlebook product is released to the public before EOY 2026, and such a product is still available on the 365th day after release, then this market resolves YES.
If a Googlebook product is released to the public before EOY 2026, but no Googlebook product is available to the public on some day before the 365th day after release, then this market resolves NO.
If a Googlebook product is NOT released to the public before EOY 2026 (e.g. if Alphabet decides to cancel it, if Alphabet goes bankrupt, if there's an existential catastrophe that wipes out human civilization, etc.), then this market resolves N/A.
For the purpose of this market, a "Googlebook product" means:
a laptop-shaped computing device
that is produced by Alphabet and/or one of Alphabet's official partners,
and that is branded as or officially referred to as "Googlebook",
and that has some kind of hardware-level and/or OS-level feature that uses at least one Alphabet-produced AI model (such as any of the "Gemini" models).
For the purpose of this market, a product is considered "released" or "available" if it is physically in-stock in store and/or online (not just available for pre-order) by Alphabet and/or any of its partners or authorized retailers anywhere in the world, and for all customers in at least one region of the world.
If the product timeline is announced to be delayed beyond EOY 2026 (the current N/A timeline threshold), I will postpone it to match the new announced timeline.
Inspired by this tweet.