How many dreams will duck_master log in the fall of 2023? [resolution % = # of dreams]
5
110Ṁ306
resolved Dec 4
Resolved as
17%

I'm an extremely prolific dreamer and have been logging my dreams for the past ~7 years. This market is a followup to my previous market for the summer of 2023, where I ultimately logged 30 dreams.

The resolution probability in percentage points will equal the total number of dreams I have logged in my dream diary from September 1, 2023 to November 30, 2023, inclusive. (For example, if I log 30 dreams as I did in the summer, then the resolution probability will be 30%.)

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predictedNO

Only three (3) dreams so far :pensive: ...

Update: now eight.

predictedNO

Final result: five in September, six in October, six in November, for a total of seventeen total. Resolving to 17%.

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