Will I send a beemail by midnight pacific today?
1
34
แน20แน401
resolved May 4
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is a commitment device for myself! I generally never do things like this until Beeminder makes me but let's see if Manifold can induce me to.
Get แน600 play money
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I don't even know how this kind of commitment device works anymore - do you get your money back if you succeed? I think you might need to bet on it yourself? I guess just having a public commitment with an extreme probability is pretty good.
I'll happily offer to take your M$ regardless ๐