By the end of 2028, will any of the Merriam-Webster Word of the Year finalists be AI-generated?
10
65
280
2029
15%
chance

The word must clearly have an AI-generated origin, and cannot simply be relating to AI (eg “GPT” or something would not count).

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ10 YES

For clarification, if 🤡7 were a word of the year finalist, would the market resolve to “yes”?

https://x.com/karan4d/status/1774862970411217146

@AshwinMahadevan Yeah, that would count.

I think this is extremely unlikely, because that's not how language works; but I'm not betting because I don't see how one could possibly resolve it. How are you gonna know that an AI used a neologism before any humans actually used it in speech? Or am I misinterpreting the market?

@BrunoParga I don’t think it has to be like “no humans have ever said this before,” but the origin should be attributed to some AI model. For example “rizz” was a finalist this year and it is attributed to Kai Cenat, a Twitch streamer. If he had gotten the idea from some AI model, then that would count, for example.

More related questions