Will Kamala Harris win the national popular vote by more than Hillary Clinton did?
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Plus
201
แน€29k
Jan 15
63%
chance

HRC won by 2.09%.

Resolves YES if Harris wins the NPV by more than that (up to 3dp) and NO if she wins by less than that, or doesn't win the NPV. To allow for recounts, challenges, and states like California that take their time to count mail ballots etc, I will delay resolution to as late as possible if their margins are close.

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