Will Donald Trump win >20% of votes in Philadelphia County, PA?
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14
๐•Š47
Dec 31
40%
chance

State-level markets = boring, played out. Manifold deserves to speculate on midwestern counties they haven't the first clue about.

For reference:

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/results/pennsylvania

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-pennsylvania.html

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Philadelphia is not the midwest

midwestern?

bought แน€20 YES

When prediction markets get big, these county-level markets will be the gold standard in election forecasting.

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