Ding vs. Gukesh - 2024 World Chess Championship Round 12 prop bets

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Ṁ24k

resolved Dec 10

Resolved

YES

Ding wins

Resolved

YES

The game is decisive

Resolved

YES

Ding has less than 40 mins before move 21

Resolved

YES

Any player reaches 60% odds of winning on lczero

Resolved

YES

At least 2 pawns are on their initial squares at the end of the game

Resolved

YES

One player plays a flawless game according to lichess postgame analysis

Resolved

YES

Ding has more time on the clock than Gukesh at any point after move 18

Resolved

Gukesh wins

Resolved

10th move by either player is a bishop move

Resolved

1.e4 is played

Resolved

Position after 6 moves is exactly similar to a position from earlier in the match

Resolved

Game lasts at least 40 moves

Resolved

Both players will have their queens off the board before move 30

Resolved

A player gets in time trouble (less than a minute per move before move 35)

Resolved

Opposite side castling

Resolved

h3 and a6 are played

Resolved

The game is a quick draw (<33 moves)

Resolved

The sum of the numerical part of the 15th moves <= 9 e.g 1.g3 h5 = 8

Resolved

At least 25 moves are pawn moves (1.e4 e6 = 2 pawn moves)

Resolved

40th move by white is a pawn or king move (NO if the game ends before move 40)

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#2024 World Chess Championship

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@traders round 13: https://manifold.markets/ZekeBass/world-chess-championship-round-13-p

bought Ṁ200 YES

@dlin007 can't resolve markets now but this will resolve YES

bought Ṁ37 NO

Manifold's API won't let me resolve options, so your mana might be stuck for a bit

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