This market is part of my Battleground States group, a series of markets relating to key competitive swing states in the 2024 US Presidential Election. These markets allow users to bet on a state-by-state basis how they foresee the results of election day (November 5th, 2024) playing out. Be sure to check out the entire category to see which races are up for grabs!

Similar to Maine, Nebraska allocates its Electoral College votes by congressional district instead of a Winner-Takes-All approach used by most of the other states in the country. For example, in the 2020 election, Donald Trump won the popular vote in the state (NE-AL), along with winning the 1st and 3rd Congressional Districts, netting him 4 EC votes. Joe Biden win the 2nd Congressional District, netting him 1 EC vote.

The past victors in NE-02 goes as follows:

2004: Bush (60%)

2008: Obama (49.97%)

2012: Romney (52.85%)

2016: Trump (47%)

2020: Biden (51.95%)

Biden actually flipped NE-02 in 2020 from Hillary Clinton's 2016 result. Will the Democrats be able to hold the district in 2024? If so, market will resolve as YES. If the Republicans manage to flip the district back to their side, market will resolve as NO.