This market is part of my Battleground States group, a series of markets relating to key competitive swing states in the 2024 US Presidential Election. These markets allow users to bet on a state-by-state basis how they foresee the results of election day (November 5th, 2024) playing out. Be sure to check out the entire category to see which races are up for grabs!

Similar to Wisconsin, the state of Michigan was a key electoral pickup for both Donald Trump in 2016 and Joe Biden in 2020 during their respective presidential victories. Along with much of the rest of the Midwest, Michigan has become a fierce battleground state. However, since Biden's victory, the state has leaned even more blue, culminating in the 2022 Midterm elections when the Democrats won a trifecta in state government, controlling both House, Senate and Governorship (the first time since 1984).

2004: Kerry (3.4)

2008: Obama (16.4)

2012: Obama (9.5)

2016: Trump (0.3)

2020: Biden (2.8)

Will the Democrats be able to preserve Michigan's blue status in the upcoming 2024 Presidential elections? If so, market will resolve as YES. If not, market will resolve as NO.