The 2024 GRAMMY Awards Nominations will be announced November 10th, 2023. Official ceremony will take place on February 4th, 2024.
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@UniversalFC definitely the category I'm most uncertain on. Everyone feels so certain about Taylor winning it but I really feel like the energy of the academy is moving against the hype this year and is comparing her to her own past works
This is today at 5 PT! I put together a dashboard for anyone that wants to get their bets in:
I will say Taylor Swift most likely to be nominated and win and reasoning will be
Historically, the genre most favored to win this category is pop, with 20 awards (1), compared to rock & alternative, with 11 awards. Boygenius, Paramore, Mitski, Pj Harvey, and Lana are from this last category, which reduces its chances just by the type of genre.
This left us with Olivia Rodrigo, Taylor Swift, and Jessie Ware. Among the three, Taylor has more nominations to the Grammys. She has won 2 out of 3 nominations for this category in the last ten years (.2), making her the most likely to get nominated and win it.
SZA would be competition, but R&B has not been a genre popular in this category. Over the years, there were only six winners in this category.
@evergreenemily I agree, but also consider that the Academy sucks at actually celebrating good music:

@dittopoop Jesus christ I puked a little in my mouth when I saw that image, maybe a NSFL warning next time