Who will win Album of the Year at the 2024 Grammy Awards?
102
4.4kṀ71k
resolved Feb 5
100%99.8%
Taylor Swift - Midnights
0.1%
SZA - SOS
0.0%
Olivia Rodrigo - Guts
0.0%
Lana Del Rey - Did You Know That There's a Tunnel Under Ocean Blvd
0.0%
Boygenius - The Record
0.0%
Paramore - This Is Why
0.0%
Jessie Ware - That! Feels Good!
0.0%
Mitski - The Land Is Inhospitable and So Are We
0.0%
PJ Harvey - I Inside the Old Year Dying
0.0%
World Music Radio - Jon Batiste
0.0%
ENDLESS SUMMER VACATION - Miley Cyrus
0.0%
The Age of Pleasure - Janelle Monae
0.0%Other

The 2024 GRAMMY Awards Nominations will be announced November 10th, 2023. Official ceremony will take place on February 4th, 2024.

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This can be resolved as YES.

POTY AOTY 👑

She told me off

Idk y'all I really don't know if Midnights is gonna get it. I know everyone's saying yes, but Th record and SOS have swept in their respective categories and Tay has only won one Grammy tonight.

@Will94fc Yeah idk

@UniversalFC definitely the category I'm most uncertain on. Everyone feels so certain about Taylor winning it but I really feel like the energy of the academy is moving against the hype this year and is comparing her to her own past works

This is today at 5 PT! I put together a dashboard for anyone that wants to get their bets in:

https://manifold.markets/news/grammys-24

Midnights is not AOTY material. At all. Don't let the Taylor hype fool you on that one.

@Will94fc it's honestly not but neither was 1989 over TPAB in 2016

I will say Taylor Swift most likely to be nominated and win and reasoning will be

  • Historically, the genre most favored to win this category is pop, with 20 awards (1), compared to rock & alternative, with 11 awards. Boygenius, Paramore, Mitski, Pj Harvey, and Lana are from this last category, which reduces its chances just by the type of genre.

  • This left us with Olivia Rodrigo, Taylor Swift, and Jessie Ware. Among the three, Taylor has more nominations to the Grammys. She has won 2 out of 3 nominations for this category in the last ten years (.2), making her the most likely to get nominated and win it.

  • SZA would be competition, but R&B has not been a genre popular in this category. Over the years, there were only six winners in this category.

(1) https://hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=314857&title=GREIN-ON-GRAMMYS:-WHAT-GENRES-TEND-TO-WIN-ALBUM-OF-THE-YEAR

(2) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grammy_Award_for_Album_of_the_Year#:~:text=Swift%20and%20Adele%20are%20the,Adele%20was%20nominated%20for%2030.

evergreen boughtṀ70 NO

Midnights, more like MIDnights

(It's just not a very good follow-up to folklore, evermore, and Red (Taylor's Version)...I was super underwhelmed, especially because folklore and evermore are what got me into her music in the first place.)

@evergreenemily I agree, but also consider that the Academy sucks at actually celebrating good music:

@evergreenemily Taylor is more relevant than the Grammies though.

@dittopoop Jesus christ I puked a little in my mouth when I saw that image, maybe a NSFL warning next time

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