Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Who will be identified as Satoshi Nakamoto by the upcoming HBO documentary?
55
Ṁ725Ṁ24k
resolved Oct 9
100%99.2%
Peter Todd
0.2%
Len Sassaman
0.1%
Dorian S. Nakamoto
0.0%
Craig Wright
0.1%
Hal Finney
0.1%
Nick Szabo
0.1%
[a group of more than one person]
0.1%
[no one identified]
0.1%
Adam Back
0.0%
Paul Le Roux
0.0%
Wei Dai
0.0%
Peter Thiel
0.0%Other

"Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery" is an upcoming documentary from HBO, which claims to reveal the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto. Which person or persons will the documentary identify as being Satoshi Nakamoto?

Note: exactly one of these options will resolve YES, unless the documentary is not released by December 31, 2024, in which case the market resolves N/A.

Please add specific named individuals as options! Please do not add options which are groups of people, or a descriptor which is not a name like "the current CEO of coinbase".

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ1,350
2Ṁ227
3Ṁ153
4Ṁ131
5Ṁ102
Sort by:

It looks like Peter Todd was claimed: https://www.politico.eu/article/peter-todd-bitcoin-creator-cullen-hoback-hbo-cryptocurrency-satoshi-nakamoto/

Has anyone watched the doc and can confirm?

@diracdeltafunk there are now many news articles from reputable-enough sources saying the documentary names Peter Todd as Satoshi. Resolving.

Really? Lmao

bought Ṁ50 NO
bought Ṁ150 YES

Apparently it got leaked and they are going to reveal Peter Todd

@Simon74fe added!

@diracdeltafunk I can't see him

@diracdeltafunk oh I thought I did but it doesn't seem to be showing up for me... Other works I guess!

@diracdeltafunk I've added him

@noaht2 GPT always knew...

reposted

About 12h left!