@HenriThunberg are you actually banking on Spurs here (in which case LOL)?

@diadematus Four games and it's enough for them to draw one of them. Implied odds seem to be about 69% (0.92*0.75) that they win the first two against Wolves and then Fulham.

For any one game they're way likely to win, but the combination seems likely to get to them. We'll see :))

@HenriThunberg I see, but I don't buy this framing. Here's how I see it: City won't lose game 38 at home in a title decider, so that's not it. They rarely lose at home under normal circumstances so it's unlikely they lose to Wolves at home who are playing for nothing. So it'll have to be Spurs or Fulham. Certainly a small chance of a draw in either game, but after watching how Spurs played against Arsenal, I just don't see it. I've also seen City rattle off too many 8-9 match winning streaks when it counts to bet against them.

@diadematus You might very well be right, the factors you mention seem relevant.

I don't follow the Premier League really, so I'm hesitant to get more involved in this market. NO just looked undervalued based on implied odds, so I shot my shot. Best of luck!

only 4 games left...this is definitely way higher than 33%

I believe they will win against Tottenham, as by that point, I believe that the placement between Aston Villa and Tottenham would be decided already, which would mean that Tottenham wouldn't have as strong of an incentive to give their best. Meanwhile, every game left for City is a title-deciding game.

I have a hard time seeing City losing any one of these games...Tottenham are ostenisbly the stiffest challenge but they're too volatile and I don't see City losing a title-deciding game on gw 37