Background:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abhimanyu_Mishra

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4dbU4IcjiUc

GM Abhimanyu Mishra is a chess prodigy who became the youngest player ever to qualify for the grandmaster title on June 30, 2021, at the age of 12 years, 4 months, and 25 days, beating Sergey Karjakin's record of 12 years and 7 months, which had stood since 2002.

Abhimanyu just turned 15 yesterday (Feb 5th) with a new career high rating of 2627.

The current record is held by China’s Wei Yi, who crossed 2700 during the 2015 Gibraltar Masters at the age of just 15 years, 7 months and 28 days. Since then, only Alireza Firouzja (16 years, 1 month and 10 days old) and Gukesh D (16 years, 1 month and 17 days old) have come close. I should mention that he has explicitly said it's his goal in various interviews.

The market will resolve YES if he has a live rating of 2700 on more on 2700chess.com before Oct 3rd 2024. It will resolve NO otherwise.