Who will win the 2024 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
179
7kṀ240k
resolved Apr 22
100%99.2%
Gukesh D
0.4%
Fabiano Caruana
0.1%
Hikaru Nakamura
0.0%
Alireza Firouzja
0.0%
Vidit Gujrathi
0.0%
Nijat Abasov
0.2%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
0.0%
R Praggnanandhaa
0.0%
Other*

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Candidates_Tournament_2024

The 2024 Candidates Tournament will be an eight-player chess tournament, held to determine the challenger for the 2024 World Chess Championship match. It is scheduled to be held from 2 to 25 April 2024 in Toronto, Canada.

As with every Candidates tournament since 2013, it will be a double round-robin tournament. The winner of the tournament will earn the right to play the World Chess Championship 2024 against the current World Chess Champion Ding Liren

This market seeks to predict the event's winner.

Resolution Criteria:

  • The market will resolve based on the player who is officially declared the winner of the 2024 Candidates Tournament as announced or published by FIDE on one of its official channels.

Tiebreak Rules:

  • If two or more players are tied for the first place, the market will resolve in favor of the player who wins based on the Candidates Tournament’s official tiebreak criteria

Contingencies*:

  • Expected Replacement Player: Nijat Abasov is included in the market as an expected replacement for Magnus Carlsen. In the event that Magnus Carlsen rejoins the tournament, all predictions made for Nijat Abasov will remain valid.

  • Formal Acceptance Pending: If any players do not formally accept their invitation at tournament start, bets involving these players will still be considered valid. Any replacement players will not be added to the market but will be counted under "Other"

  • If the tournament is postponed: The market will remain open until the new end date of the tournament. All predictions can be revised until the new closing date.

  • If the tournament is cancelled: The market will be voided

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