Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
2025-26 English Premier League title run in prop bets
37
Ṁ1.2kṀ8.5k
May 24
80%
Arsenal win the title
63%
The title is decided by <3 points
62%
Title is decided on GW38
52%
Manchester City close out the season unbeaten (GW27+)
40%
The City/Arsenal game is decisive (result materially affects the title race)
18%
The title is decided on goal difference
7%
Title is decided before GW37
Resolved
YES
Manchester City lead the league for at least 48 hours before GW38
Resolved
YES
Arsenal get a double digit lead at the top of the table at any point
Resolved
N/A
Arsenal drop points against Aston Villa

Resolves after gw38...in case of any ambiguity i will resolve based on my best judgement

  • Update 2026-04-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Less than 3 points" means a gap of 0, 1, or 2 points → resolves YES. Any other gap resolves NO.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

@diadematus Does <3 points mean a maximum of 2 points?

Or if the difference is 3 points less a goal difference of 1, does this mean that adding 3 points to 2nd place would promote them to 1st so the difference between top two sides is less than 3 points?


@ChristopherRandles it's pretty straightforward? 0,1,2 points gap resolves yes. anything else resolves NO

sold Ṁ25 NO

i'm as big of an Arsenal 'hater' as they come, but can someone explain to me why Arsenal are not just the significant favorites to still win the title based on the remaining strength of schedule? I am almost certain City will not win out and will probably drop points in at least 2 games while Arsenal's schedule is kind of hard to fuck up. The only think i can think of is poor form, but that can rapidly change with one confidence-boosting win

@diadematus Should resolve YES: Man City are top after beating Burnley today. Arsenal won't play until Saturday.