Note: Resolving this N/A because this market mechanism is deprecated. This is one of ten open markets which we are closing to remove technical debt.

Sorry for the inconvenience. Soon there will be a better multiple choice mechanism!

Arb opp: https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/who-will-win-the-2024-republican-pr

This market was created last November and at the time the market mechanism was multi-CFMM, which has since been removed because of issues with very poor liquidity. I created several yes/no markets on the top contenders instead:

how do you sell the shares on this market? i'm tired of seeing it in my portfolio when any rando can spend a tiny amount of mana to drive the probabilities to stupid levels

@casens Hi! You can buy NO shares to cancel out your YES shares, but because share counts are fractional, unfortunately I don't think it's possible to completely get rid of all your shares on this market type. Manifold had this market type for a short time before removing it because of issues with very small trades moving the probability way too much, like you mention.

I will probably close the market to avoid the big price swings, and encourage traders to use the yes/no markets I just created, linked above. If anyone objects, let me know. The market will still resolve as normal once the nominee is determined.

@jack This is a very weak objection, but I think that correcting this market has been a source of very minor fun/whimsy in my life, and so I would like it to remain open. Like, who even knew a negative cost basis was possible?!?

Here's a market I just created

Needs an Other option. And/or a method to resolve if Other wins.

@AaronKreider Oh I see it is there, nice!

DeSantis won't even run.

This list of 10 options is from https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/11/12/top-10-republican-candidates-2024/