Is America on the brink of a Christian revival?
11
317
Ṁ221
2026
7%
chance
Tl;dr: resolves YES if 40%+ of Americans describe themselves in 2025 as “born again” or evangelical Christians according to Gallup polling. See https://twitter.com/pjchougule/status/1517835765409107969 and https://twitter.com/dglid/status/1520175717841055747 This market will resolve YES if 40% or more respond “yes” to Gallup’s polling question "Would you describe yourself as a "born-again" or evangelical Christian?" in its annual polling of the question in 2025, which is expected to be found at https://news.gallup.com/poll/1690/religion.aspx. 36% described themselves as born-again or evangelical Christian in '21, 34% in '20, and 37% in '19. See the full trends since 1992 at the link above.
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Why specifically born again or evangelical?

bought Ṁ100 of NO

Evangelicalism has a bad name for both liberal "white evangelicalism" and conservative "big evangelicalism" Christians. I want it to happen but I don't think it will and even if there is a revival I think the branding will be different.

bought Ṁ10 of YES
I mean, Kanye and Bieber? All we need now is to get Eliezer on board.

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