🏈 NFL Prop Bets 🎲
Basic
41
αΉ€3629
2100
60%
Chiefs/49ers/Ravens Win Super Bowl
44%
A running back wins OPOY
74%
Regular Season MVP plays for the team that drafted them
5%
Team goes 0-17
2%
Team goes 17-0
68%
5 Teams finish with positive Rush EPA in the regular season
27%
Rookie WR with the highest receiving yards is not Harrison Jr, Nabers, or Odunze
17%
The NFL dissolves before 2050
82%
Super Bowl winning team has the same starting QB in Week 1 as in the Super Bowl
67%
A team wins 14+ games in the regular season
80%
A QB wins (offensive) ROTY
87%
A QB wins MVP
18%
New kick return rules result in 50%+ of kickoffs being returned (2023: 22%)
63%
A QB is sacked 50+ times
52%
A player gets 18+ sacks
31%
A player catches 9+ interceptions
66%
A WR has 1,700+ receiving yards
40%
A QB passes for 5,000+ yards
10%
Super Bowl is a rematch (KC vs SF)
32%
A veteran in their first season with a new team wins MVP

Submit whatever you think might happen related to the NFL and if it happens it will resolve YES.

Any answer not specifying otherwise should be assumed to refer to the current regular season only (or upcoming regular season if in the offseason). Please specify if your answer is meant to include playoffs or be only playoffs or a specific game. If unclear, ask in the comments. I reserve the right to reword answers myself to make them clearer. I may N/A submissions for any reason.

Comments are strongly encouraged to help notify me that answers can be resolved and to facilitate speedy resolution. I reserve the right to resolve NO any answer for which sufficient evidence is not provided.

For prop bets on other sports, see the 🏟️ Sports Prop Bets 🎲 dashboard.

See also the 🏟️ Major Sporting Events & Champions dashboard.

For faster resolution, mods may resolve answers and/or any trader may tag @dglid in a comment.

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opened a αΉ€50 A QB wins (offensive... NO at 75% order

Superbowl is a rematch of what?

@JoshuaWilkes I assume this is KC vs SF. I’ll update.

I'm assuming all counting stats for all of these props are implicitly regular season only unless stated otherwise in the answer? Does that also apply to other statements that aren't necessarily tracked (i.e. I put Josh Allen 3+ laterals in the Bills props)

@StopPunting Good clarification. Yes, I think default time frame if not otherwise specified should be the regular season as that’s what sources of truth typically report by default (ie https://www.nfl.com/stats/player-stats/, https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/T/TagoTu00.htm) I’ll update the description to clarify.

5 Teams finish with positive Rush EPA in the regular season
reposted

neat

@dglid sorry about the super bowl one - feel free to delete it if you want (i should’ve read the instructions first)

@eppsilon No worries. I’ll leave it but yeah hopefully we’ll have fewer than we would otherwise. That said, the other market is more of a live market for what will happen at the game, so your answer is okay here I think.

An octopus is an NFL player who scores both the touchdown and the subsequent two-point conversions during a single possession: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/friv/octopus-tracker.htm

There were 11 last season.

Tracker: https://twitter.com/NFL_Octopus

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