Will Destiny publish a video that surpasses the Alex Jones Jan. 6th debate in views in 2024?
Will Destiny publish a video that surpasses the Alex Jones Jan. 6th debate in views in 2024?
36
1kṀ10kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves immediately when proof is posted of another video passing the Alex Jones Jan. 6th debate video in Youtube views (views at that moment, not compared to views at the creation of this market).
Any of the official channels counts. Shorts or clips don't count, has to be at least 15 minutes long.
Resolves N/A if the Alex Jones video gets removed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ775 | |
2 | Ṁ531 | |
3 | Ṁ332 | |
4 | Ṁ240 | |
5 | Ṁ81 |
People are also trading
If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?
50% chance
Will xQc win his bet with Dan Saltman?
98% chance
Darius Stock
Ṁ603
Will the Brianna Wu bridge burn within 6 months of the 2024 Presidential Election ending?
14% chance
Is the Destiny / Nick Fuentes sex tape real?
7% chance
Will the war in Ukraine end by 2026
32% chance
Will Andrew Tate skip bail and flee Romania?
3% chance
Will Destiny debate a member of the Chinese Communist Party in a year?
3% chance
Will Destiny surpass Hasan in YouTube subscribers before he goes on Joe Rogan?
48% chance
When will Destiny stop losing subscribers?
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?
50% chance
Will the war in Ukraine end by 2026
32% chance
Will xQc win his bet with Dan Saltman?
98% chance
Will Andrew Tate skip bail and flee Romania?
3% chance
Darius Stock
Ṁ603
Will Destiny debate a member of the Chinese Communist Party in a year?
3% chance
Will the Brianna Wu bridge burn within 6 months of the 2024 Presidential Election ending?
14% chance
Will Destiny surpass Hasan in YouTube subscribers before he goes on Joe Rogan?
48% chance
Is the Destiny / Nick Fuentes sex tape real?
7% chance
When will Destiny stop losing subscribers?