Will Destiny’s Trump Insurrection Manifesto gain One Million views in 45 days?

Question

Destiny (Steven Bonnell) recently began the final stages of research for his “cohesive telling” on the days leading up to and including January 6th, 2021. He just stated on stream (August 11th) he plans to turn the research gathered into a video describing “the full story” and he’s roughly three days away from having enough material for his “putting together the story” and “putting out a nice video”

The elements of a sufficient manifesto include:

-20-30 minute (or longer) YouTube video

-Video is mostly about the insurrection

-Document with sources drops in tandem

Due to the slightly subjective elements of declaring a sufficient “Trump Insurrection Manifesto” I will not bet on this market until 48 hours pass from the moment I ping traders a link to the publicly posted video in question.

This question resolves YES if, by January 6th 2025, Destiny releases a manifesto fitting the above description, with a video that surpasses One Million views within 45 days of it being released publicly. Can still resolve YES after January 6th as long as it hits one million views before 45 days after release.

Resolves NO if Destiny doesn’t release a video fitting the above description by EOD January 6th 2025, or if that video doesn’t get one million views in 45 days after release.

example:

destiny posts sufficient manifesto with video on YouTube at 5:00pm August 14th

For YES, the YouTube video must reach one million views by September 28th at 5:00pm. Otherwise, for this case it would resolve NO.

comment any news, markets, or anything! 💙

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on May 25, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.