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MANIFOLD
On August 30th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
18
Ṁ1kṀ4.5k
resolved Sep 3
Resolved
NO
x ≥ 5
Resolved
NO
x ≥ 10
Resolved
NO
x ≥ 15
Resolved
NO
x ≥ 20
Resolved
NO
x ≥ 25
Resolved
NO
x ≥ 30
Resolved
NO
x ≥ 35

Question

On August 30th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?

Resolution Criteria

Let x be the 7-day average ships passing on through the Strait of Hormuz on August 30th 2026. Using IMF PortWatch as the official source, each market above will resolve to YES if the inequality is true and will resolve to NO otherwise.

If the data are not available by end of day September 28th, I will resolve each market to NA.

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The 7 day average was only 4.

@traders, see below.