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MANIFOLD
What will be the Opening Weekend Domestic Gross of 'The Devil Wears Prada 2' (2026)?
19
Ṁ175Ṁ5k
resolved May 4
100%89%
$70M – $79.9M
0.2%
Less than $40 M
0.2%
$40M – $49.9M
0.3%
$50M – $59.9M
3%
$60M – $69.9M
5%
$80M - $89.9M
2%
$90M or more

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the official "Domestic Weekend" opening box office gross for the film The Devil Wears Prada 2 as reported by Box Office Mojo.

  • The opening weekend is defined as the Friday through Sunday period of the film's wide release in the United States and Canada.

  • The market will resolve to the option that corresponds to the final reported dollar amount.

  • If the film is not released, or if official box office data is not available by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve N/A.

Background

The Devil Wears Prada 2 is a projected sequel to the 2006 film The Devil Wears Prada. Traders should note that opening weekend projections can be highly volatile and are subject to factors such as marketing spend, release date competition, and critical reception closer to the actual release. If the film is released under a different title or is not a direct sequel, the market will rely on the official tracking for the sequel to the 2006 property.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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bought Ṁ608 YES

@delfinasu this can resolve $70 to $80M

@100Anonymous we need to wait for the final results .These are the estimates.

@delfinasu these estimates will not change. It will show the same thing weeks and months later, as I can tell you from experience with Box Office Mojo.

@100Anonymous this is not true. BOM posts early estimates Sunday morning, and then those get updated to final totals sometime on ~Monday (usually). The early estimates routinely do NOT match the final total, sometimes by a few mil. enough to change resolution in this particular market? unlikely. But they routinely change by a meaningful amount (how could they not, the numbers you were looking at were posted before an entire day of weekend gross had happened). And for a market predicting what will happen, it’s good form to wait until the event actually happens and is recorded before resolution (the early Sunday #s are just reasonably accurate projections)

sold Ṁ609 YES
bought Ṁ1 YES

@Ziddletwix it's Monday, so I would assume that the estimates have changed to actual numbers.

@100Anonymous as I said, your assumption is wrong.

While normally the update comes later on Monday morning, an easy way to confirm this is that the early estimates are usually a nice round number (currently: 77,000,000). That helps confirm these are still the numbers from Sunday morning.

@Ziddletwix do you want to place a bet on this? 10k mana on whether “77,000,000” is the final gross that BOM will list for DWP2’s OW? You seem confident , I can make a market

@Ziddletwix sure, you make a market, but I won't be betting that much because I don't have that much mana to risk (after what you said, I'm not that confident anymore.)

@100Anonymous ok here's a market feel free to bet whatever size you like (i gave 80/20 odds so very favorable) /Ziddletwix/devil-wears-prada-2-opening-weekend

@100Anonymous it’s still at 77m and my limit order is still up!

@Ziddletwix resolved $76,747,075

@100Anonymous I guess your extensive “experience with boxofficemojo” was not helpful and the creator was correct

@Ziddletwix sorry for missing to bet, it was midnight for me