Resolution Criteria

Avatar: Fire and Ash was released in the United States on December 19, 2025. The market resolves based on the total number of calendar days the film holds the #1 position at the US domestic box office, as tracked by Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/). A day counts toward the total if Avatar: Fire and Ash is ranked #1 for any portion of that day's box office reporting period. The resolution will be determined by the final box office standings once the film is no longer in top 10.

Background

Avatar: Fire and Ash is a 2025 American epic science fiction film directed by James Cameron, distributed by 20th Century Studios and produced by Lightstorm Entertainment, and is the sequel to Avatar: The Way of Water (2022) and the third installment in the Avatar film series. The film opened with $89 million domestically and $347 million worldwide. Avatar: Fire and Ash flew past the $1 billion mark at the global box office.

Considerations

Avatar films have historically demonstrated exceptional box office longevity. Avatar: The Way of Water had a second weekend decline of -52%, while the original Avatar in 2009 dipped only -1.8%. The timing of Fire and Ash's release during the holiday season (December 19) means its #1 run will overlap with peak moviegoing periods, which could extend its dominance compared to typical releases.