Resolves YES if the result of
/JosephNoonan/will-is-rationalussy-good-or-bad-be
is mathematically determined by noon ET tomorrow, May 26 (almost two weeks before it closes). That means that the result would be guaranteed to be NO (can't guarantee YES by then), regardless of what the probability of that market's underlying is after that.
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It’s now impossible for YES in the good/bad market to force a win by at least 20% even if the average was 100% for the remaining time. It was already impossible for NO even before this market’s creation. This just happened a minute ago, at 7:48:37 am Eastern.
I will wait for confirmation from @JosephNoonan or anyone else before resolving YES (I’ve traded a single share there to facilitate the script computation).
90% till close or 90min no change