Will Apple stock (AAPL) fully break $200 before $180? (2nd attempt)
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Plus
267
Ṁ220k
resolved Mar 4
Resolved
NO

Last price: 2024-Mar-01 $179.66 (day’s high $180.53)

(will try to update meaningful moves after Nasdaq close)

Resolves after the first regular (9:30am-4pm ET) or half-day (1pm early close around some US holidays) Nasdaq trading session after market creation (2023-Nov-20) during which the price stays above $200 (YES) or below $180 (NO) for the whole session. In other words, the first time one of these is the case after Nasdaq close:

Resolves YES if AAPL intraday low > $200

Resolves NO if AAPL intraday high < $180

Will extend closing date as needed. Reference is publicly-quoted intraday high/low, adjusted for any future stock splits (e.g. if it splits 2:1 at $190 then quoted prices next day would be $95 post split but would not cause it to resolve NO since reference price for this market would be x2)

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@deagol Thanks, lost the $200 market twice in a row now lol. Keep it coming.

@traders that seems will be done fast, so might as well jump ahead…

bought Ṁ999 NO

Resolves NO

bought Ṁ6,000 NO

Nasdaq hasn't posted officially yet, but it's not even close.

@DanielTilkin the Nasdaq historical data referenced in description updates later tonight, but uses the day’s data shown in the Summary tab at the same source:

bought Ṁ3,129 NO

😭

bought Ṁ4,000 NO

176.75 in pre-market, today could be the day

@DanielTilkin RIP my portfolio lol

@traders pulled in the close to today, just as a heads up. Good luck all!

@deagol Oh shit haha.

@esusatyo don’t lose all hope just yet, 2% bounce is quite possible, perhaps even likely.

@esusatyo ok starting to look not so good lol

Extended two weeks due to lower volatility.

Derivative market about when this market will resolve!

@traders another week on The Long And Winding Road...

great job all, keep it up!

@deagol "prediction markets provide value" 😂

@trixwit it couldn’t resolve today, known from the very open. Needs all day below 180 or over 200 to resolve.

@deagol yeah i understand

@deagol I in all honesty glanced at this image in my phone and though its just a screenshot from a trading termimal with apple and some sort of trading indicator enabled...

brakeBotopened aṀ75YES at 35% order

@brake @mint just fyi: It seems like your bot is quite easy to exploit. (I've done these type of trades a few times now.) I am not 100% certain, maybe it's just luck.

predicted NO

@Lion yeah I monitor the bot pretty closely at this stage so I've noticed, but thanks for the heads up. There will always be the potential for exploit when a bot trades with people instead of against them. I previously had more strict rules to make this harder but I loosened them recently and the bot has been making more trades and performing a lot better, so idk. I'll keep refining it further and can always create a manual block list

@mint yeah, that's why Jaguar is running with a max amount of 10 Mana. I hope nobody tries to exploit him for that. It is a pretty fine line.

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