What disaster(s) will befall our bouldering trip?
Basic
13
Ṁ352
resolved Jan 14
Resolved
NO
Serious injury while climbing (broken bone+)
Resolved
NO
We (2+ people) get stranded somewhere for 6+ hours
Resolved
NO
Someone gets sick enough to seek medical attention
Resolved
NO
> 50% of potential climbing days prevented by bad weather
Resolved
NO
Car breaks down
Resolved
NO
Lost or stolen climbing gear worth >$500
Resolved
NO
Food poisoning affects 3+ people in group
Resolved
NO
Rental car company cancels/changes reservation last minute
Resolved
NO
Someone misses a flight (unexpectedly)
Resolved
NO
Someone gets injured badly enough to prevent climbing for the remainder of the trip
Resolved
NO
Hotel/accommodation booking falls through
Resolved
NO
Someone gets COVID or flu during trip
Resolved
NO
Car accident (no injuries but vehicle damage)

Nine of us are going on a bouldering trip to Bishop, CA. We'll be flying into Vegas on Jan 3, 2025, climbing at Red Rock, then driving to Bishop. We fly out of Vegas on the 12th/13th. We're bringing three cars and renting 1.

The experience with climbing/bouldering ranges from zero to a lot.

I won't trade on this market.

  • Update 2025-03-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria:

    • A disaster must significantly affect our logistics.

    • Minor delays or obtaining a larger vehicle will not be considered disasters.

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#Bouldering
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For this one, I'll resolve it yes if the change is significant enough to affect our logistics. If it's a short delay or they give us a bigger car etc I will resolve it no.

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