This market will resolve to Yes at Nov 25 7pm ET. Max position 20Ṁ per person please.
16
310Ṁ493
resolved Nov 26
Resolved
YES

If any human participant placed bets over 20Ṁ in this specific market, I reserve the right to resolve the market to a No and compensate all other participant via tip. (You are free to place more bets on other markets of the same name)

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ14
2Ṁ11
3Ṁ7
4Ṁ6
5Ṁ5
Sort by:

I have invested 21Ṁ into yes. Somewhat related: I don't think these kind of markets are bringing a lot of value to this site. It seems to mostly be an attempt to take advantage of the mana you get from the unique traders bonus. I think people should not abuse the system in this way.

predictedYES

@harfe But prediction markets are all about finding ways to abuse the system!

I agree this type of market is annoying, but I think prevention of them should be done by clear rules from the Manifold admins, not fuzzy social norms.

predictedYES

@harfe Also note that as long as they're in the right group, I believe you can set your homepage to ignore them.

@harfe @IsaacKing I'll be more careful with my group that so that people who wants to ignore this market can ignore it going forward

predictedYES

@harfe You can do that just by creating markets with obvious outcomes. "Will Joe Biden still be President in a week?" "Will the Sun rise tomorrow?"

@BRTD The issue is not just that the resolution is known, but that they set a limit on how much you can trade. If you ask "Will the Sun rise tomorrow?", one person will bet it up to 99% and then other people won't have much reason to trade.

predictedYES

@Yev Actually that doesn't happen: https://manifold.markets/BRTD/will-kamala-harris-still-be-vicepre

predictedYES

@BRTD Well, 6 traders is still a small number. Imagine how many people it'll take to reach 98% if each can only bet M$1: /IsaacKing/this-market-resolves-to-yes-max-pos-38e0e0167b99

predictedNO

@dailyreward You don't seem to be careful at all

@Yev hmmm somehow my tag get voided and they automatically assigned me the politics tag...

I'll work on fixing it

@Yev wait they looks fine on my end?

predictedNO

@dailyreward Yes, because I went through all of them and fixed them 😉

This market will resolve to Yes at Nov 25 7pm ET. Max position 20Ṁ per person please., 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules