[Win $100] How much cash will Nomic have in its treasury on December 31st, 2022?
11
120Ṁ1535
resolved Jan 5
Resolved
50

The top bettor will receive a $100 gift card or equivalent.

This resolves to the amount of cash, in US dollars, that Nomic has in its treasury as of 11:59 PM on December 31st, 2022.

~ Treasury Tracker ~

Jul 22, 11:00am: $0.00

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ204
2Ṁ53
3Ṁ19
4Ṁ17
5Ṁ14
Sort by:
predictedHIGHER

@SirSalty Congratulations! Hit me up on Discord if you want that gift card. I'm happy to deliver it to you in some other form if you prefer (e.g., charity donation, cryptocurrency, etc).

It's with a heavy heart that I must admit: I've had nearly zero time for Nomic over the past several months, but I haven't quite lost interest yet. Consider it dormant, not dead.

predictedHIGHER

Note: I tried to resolve this to $0, but I set the minimum to $50 back when I set this up. I guess it all makes sense in the end given that the Treasury technically simultaneously contained $100 and $0 at time of closing. I had set aside the payout amount for this purpose, but as the clock struck 11:59 PM on December 31st, 2022, that money became property of @SirSalty.

Does "top bettor" go by M$ or shares or what? Can a whale come in at the last second and wash trade into first place? Maybe the "top bettor" could be whoever has the highest average sale value over the time that the market is open, to be commensurate with the opportunity cost of not just investing the mana staked here.
@Gurkenglas What about paying out to whoever cumulatively moved the number the furthest to the right number? And wouldn't that be the top bettor?
Incentivizing myself to throw $10,000 into the flames of futarchy.
NB: I may or may not actually do this. Consider this a market subsidy.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy