In the future, don't ask for permission, just make 'em yourself! That's what Manifold's all about.

Would you want to make 2 spin-off markets of this: one which asks about a 3.5% margin and one that asks about a 5% margin? If not, would you mind if I made them myself?

I for one think that this midterm will heavily lean towards Warnock (because Trump who has endorsed Walker will drive Democrats to vote, and Walker doesn’t have Kemp to bring up  Republican turnout) and am curious what the markets think.

 I also wonder, check this one and its Poly version

They only have to get 51.25% for this to happen. I think Warnock will likely do that. Walker does not have the benefit of sharing the ballot with Kemp this time so GOP turnout will lag. 

What's up with the dislocation between this market and its Polymarket clone? Are people hedging?

Will the margin of victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater?

, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

" if the margin of victory in the runoff election for US Senator from Georgia is 

. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "

https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-georgia-runoff-be-2pt5-or-greater