Will this market close at exactly 3%?
28
50Ṁ2527resolved Jul 27
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve Yes if and only if the chance of this question is exactly 3% at its stated closing time. The display percentage is used (rounded to the next integer)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Stuart has 1068 yes position. It currently would take 841 mana bet for 876 position to get down to 3%. Seems like Stuart might try that - whether it makes a profit or just reduces the loss.
So I am wondering where are all the other no holders book orders to buy ay 4% to prevent this claim turning into a loss? Currently I am the only one with such an order.