Will this market close at exactly 3%?
28
50Ṁ2527
resolved Jul 27
Resolved
NO

This will resolve Yes if and only if the chance of this question is exactly 3% at its stated closing time. The display percentage is used (rounded to the next integer)

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Stuart should have put a book order for like 700 on no at 3% instead of messing about with simple sale of 10.

@ChristopherRandles Had something queued up to do that, goofed up the token.

Darn, so close! 😂 Gripping stuff.

now at 3% !

Stuart has 1068 yes position. It currently would take 841 mana bet for 876 position to get down to 3%. Seems like Stuart might try that - whether it makes a profit or just reduces the loss.

So I am wondering where are all the other no holders book orders to buy ay 4% to prevent this claim turning into a loss? Currently I am the only one with such an order.

predictedNO

Stuart now just needs to sell 676 mana for 704 off his 1068 position. leaving a cheap 364 position on yes. So yes looking surprisingly likely.

... unless no holders help out with some yes orders at 4%

predictedYES

not even needing to sell is even better for Stuart,

You could have the first

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